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Opinion Kilcrohane's view of the Automotive Industry and Global Economy. Part Deux.


X400 was hideous, which only added insult to the injury of it being so well know as a reskinned Mondeo. I'm not that sold on the XE or XF, but on looks alone I'd not be ruling them out against their respective German rivals.

the issue with it being a reskinned Mondeo was ridiculous, the Mondeo had best in class chassis, platform sharing wasn’t considered an issue with its A4 competitor sharing the same platform as the Passat. Even with the negative press it’s still the best selling Jaguar ever.
 
the issue with it being a reskinned Mondeo was ridiculous, the Mondeo had best in class chassis, platform sharing wasn’t considered an issue with its A4 competitor sharing the same platform as the Passat.

To me personally - the Jag was ****-ugly - more expensive to buy and maintain, and not really any better for it - it didn't make sense to buy it instead of the Mondeo.
 
Sales of 'premium' EVs in Europe's largest market soon in der Keller - wholesale cost of electricity 50 cents/kWh - retail 75c, 1€? Who's going run a twice the purchase cost EV then, with ICE comparable mileage costs, or worse, with price of oil dropping like a stone, other than the very rich and can afford to virtue signal?:

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Doh! Caught, hook, line, and sinker - reeled in by 20-25 cents or less for night-time tariff home-charging, and 'you're saving the planet' - extra credits added to your social score - and then wham!, Great Resetted. EVs only for the ZiL classes, flying private jets everywhere - what social score? - or on $100m+ 'yachts', and of course preaching to the new paupers of Germany and Europe to take public transport to save the planet, or better still, stay at home, freeze, starve and die.

Imagine what the cost of electricity in Germany, and UK, will be when the cold starts, and no wind or solar - with Olaf the Dumb and Liz the Retard begging Trudeau the Gimp for his miracle hydrogen - not produced by nat. gas, no siree - and Gulf potentates, with their circling LNG carriers, waiting for the highest bidder - not bust, broke Germany and UK.
 
4% base rate in UK by end of year - ~10 % standard mortgage cost = end of UK's 40 year housing bubble - end of EV mini boom of last 2 years, and end of the look-at-me, 2/3 premium cars parked on tiny paved over garden in front of ex-council house or workers' terrace worth supposedly £500k or £1m in greater London.

1660741283650.jpg



This isn't 2008-9, infamous 'Housepricecrash.co.uk', it's the rug being deliberately pulled from under idiots who thought they were well off, by the people who truly got rich since the early 1980s, and now need to blame it all on 'outside forces'.

Schmee, RokenR, Yannimize etc are the tip of the iceberg that will get burned - pardon the mixed metaphors.
 
EVs only for the ZiL classes, flying private jets everywhere - what social score? - or on $100m+ 'yachts',

Even when it reaches £650/MWh in December a typical EV is only going to be costing about the same per mile as a 35mpg car at £1.70/litre (which is better than my car!). Are you saying that only people with private jets and super yachts can afford that? Because that's nonsense. Taking an ID.3 Pure as a typical EV with 140 miles real world range in the winter, 65p/kWh as an energy price, that gives an annual cost of £1720 - call it £150/month...

... people aren't buying super yachts or running private jets for £150/mo. Your assertions favouring hyperbole instead of sense, are (again), utter bullshit.
 
To me personally - the Jag was ****-ugly - more expensive to buy and maintain, and not really any better for it - it didn't make sense to buy it instead of the Mondeo.

Same as it doesn't make sense buying an A1, A3, A4 over a Polo, Golf or Passat, but people do because of premium branding.
 
Even when it reaches £650/MWh in December a typical EV is only going to be costing about the same per mile as a 35mpg car at £1.70/litre (which is better than my car!). Are you saying that only people with private jets and super yachts can afford that? Because that's nonsense. Taking an ID.3 Pure as a typical EV with 140 miles real world range in the winter, 65p/kWh as an energy price, that gives an annual cost of £1720 - call it £150/month...

... people aren't buying super yachts or running private jets for £150/mo. Your assertions favouring hyperbole instead of sense, are (again), utter bullshit.
35 mpg? Try 50, 60. That dirty, verboten word, Diesel.

As I said, if you remember, there's zero incentive to have a new EV, unless you regularly go into the London Con Charge - only EVs exempt - or have a company, that you can offset the cost against your, sorry, 'the company's' tax, at 100 or 130% in the first year.

I'll spell it out, if it's so hard to grasp:

- buy a pre Mar 2017 reg'd car, which means none of Osborne's VED nonsense, an extra £475/yr for the first 5 years if over $40k rrp
- make sure it's about £30/yr VED(road tax), or £0
- Euro 6, for diesel, which means London ULEZ and other clean air zones exempt
- around £20-25k for a very nice car, low mileage
- does 50 average, 60-65 on a run mpg

Am I missing something, besides not being able to virtue signal? Who cares, when people can't afford to eat or heat.

A 50 mpg diesel, taking your £1.70/litre - diesel will soon be this, should be already - beats most real-world EVs.

And then there's the around half the cost in purchasing.

Just watch. From now on, EV demand will mysteriously 'soften'.
 
Broke and Broken Britain, a stroppy 60 yr old child as 'leader', a full-blown retard as its replacement, the worst economy in the developed world, soon vying for that title in the undeveloped world, crime out of control, Plod like the fatboy leader stroppy and gone AWOL, strikes everywhere, but mighty Britannia still has money to fly missions over Russia:


Putin knows the game, the trap being set. He'll just tell his pilots to buzz them, perhaps send out 'locked-on' signals for air-to-air missiles, and the 'brave boys' - lesbians and newly vibrant - of the RAF will scuttle away, the bullies and cowards that they are.

It'll be the Iranians and the Royal Navy all over again - RN and UK totally humiliated, a global laughing stock:


Nothing will save the 'elite' of UK now, not even a got-up war with Russia.
 
Who cares, when people can't afford to eat or heat.

Can't afford to eat or heat? Why not buy a £20-25k car!

I've said it before, stop injecting your posts with unnecessary melodramatic self-contradicting horse shit and you might occasionally have a good point. You've pretty much doubled down on the UK being a nuclear wasteland by the end of the year, so why do you think it even matters?
 
35 mpg? Try 50, 60. That dirty, verboten word, Diesel.

As I said, if you remember, there's zero incentive to have a new EV, unless you regularly go into the London Con Charge - only EVs exempt - or have a company, that you can offset the cost against your, sorry, 'the company's' tax, at 100 or 130% in the first year.

I'll spell it out, if it's so hard to grasp:

- buy a pre Mar 2017 reg'd car, which means none of Osborne's VED nonsense, an extra £475/yr for the first 5 years if over $40k rrp
- make sure it's about £30/yr VED(road tax), or £0
- Euro 6, for diesel, which means London ULEZ and other clean air zones exempt
- around £20-25k for a very nice car, low mileage
- does 50 average, 60-65 on a run mpg

Am I missing something, besides not being able to virtue signal? Who cares, when people can't afford to eat or heat.

A 50 mpg diesel, taking your £1.70/litre - diesel will soon be this, should be already - beats most real-world EVs.

And then there's the around half the cost in purchasing.

Just watch. From now on, EV demand will mysteriously 'soften'.
Make me miss my Skoda Fabia 1.2 SE. Bought it two months before the car buying stampede ahead of the VED change in 2017.
-I paid £25 annual in VED.
-Bought the with a £500 deposit and paid £125 per month. The latter which is the monthly cost for a household to have two iphone contracts.
-Tyres cost £50 per corner.
-35-40mpg achieved with a cold engine on shirt journeys.
- It had Apple Carplay and Android Auto too!

What a car.
 
Can't afford to eat or heat? Why not buy a £20-25k car!

I've said it before, stop injecting your posts with unnecessary melodramatic self-contradicting horse shit and you might occasionally have a good point. You've pretty much doubled down on the UK being a nuclear wasteland by the end of the year, so why do you think it even matters?
That's true. The Russians are saying the false flag for the nuke ZPP is today.

But, we can have fun while it lasts. That's what life is about.

So you accept that a diesel is cheaper cost per mile than an EV. At least we've established that before the End.

Funny thing, while the Media tell the eejits this morning that retails sales are booming - they're not, it's just real inflation is being deliberately under-discounted, easiest trick in the book - the housing market/bubble, 'The UK Economy', has collapsed, as shown by Blackrock shorting the hell out of B&Q(Kingfisher):


When Blackrock gets involved, you know it's a one-way bet. The 'experts' will still say it's just the end of the post-Lockdown, working from home, making a home office, extensions galore etc boom.

Blackrock, being thee insiders, they are the system, know the plug has been pulled on the UK 'economy' - 40 years of housing ponzi.

The good retail sales figure is manufactured to provide cover for the BoE, the system, to raise interest rates again in a few weeks - 0.5, possibly even 0.75%.

The economy's gone, people are paupers, but the official line has to be 'supply difficulties' causing inflation. Interest rates to the moon to 'stamp it out'.

There is no inflation, in anything other than food and energy. And that's been created. The world is awash in oil and gas.

Housing is falling, fuel is falling, real car prices are falling - there is no demand.

Base rates to 4%, retail loans to ~10%, means someone wants to metaphorically and literally kill the fools, 'useless eaters' as They call them, who fell for this basically con trick - 'You are rich', live like a lord. Oops, credit denied; you own nothing'.

Keep your powder dry, avoid anything The System offers you - 'free money'/UBI, sign up to dig. alerts, the Vs of course, etc - and wait a few months for bargains you've never seen in your life, or your parents', grandparents' lives - cars, houses, equipment, jewellery being pawned, etc, etc.
 
Make me miss my Skoda Fabia 1.2 SE. Bought it two months before the car buying stampede ahead of the VED change in 2017.
-I paid £25 annual in VED.
-Bought the with a £500 deposit and paid £125 per month. The latter which is the monthly cost for a household to have two iphone contracts.
-Tyres cost £50 per corner.
-35-40mpg achieved with a cold engine on shirt journeys.
- It had Apple Carplay and Android Auto too!

What a car.
that's the ticket. Something forgotten with the EV mania - tyres suffer under the weight of these beasts. typically 500kg more than the comparable ICE, and of course all the bushes, dampers etc in the steering, suspension - 'basically maintenance free' - yeah right.

Their tyres are made 'EV' to counter this extra, often huge weight, meaning hard as iron sidewalls, and 'low friction' - meaning less stick, less handling.

A 1-~1.2 tonne car is inherently better for the environment - much less mass, 95%+ easily recyclable - and inherently better to drive - ease of changing direction.

The EV thing is already springing holes. People were lured in, duped, by low home-charging cost, while swearing it was all to do with being Green, saving the planet. No, it was mainly cost. Residuals were through the roof, and cost per mile was literal pennies. It was a no-brainer, for the switched-on middle class.

That's all changed, as the love affair becomes a bitter divorce. Mass EV was a malarkey, eye wash, from the get-go.
 
Tesla/TSLA in miniature - 'legal' - SEC/authorities turns a blind one - manipulation of stock price, by use of call options, to squeeze the shorts, drive the price to the sky, temporarily/fleetingly, and cash out while the muppets in their basements realise too late a day later:

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Ryan Cohen is a 'poor man's' Enron, sorry, Felon, sorry, Messiah Musk. The game's rigged, and you're the mark.
 
So you accept that a diesel is cheaper cost per mile than an EV. At least we've established that before the End.

I hadn't actually flatly disputed this*, my post pointed out how clearly moronic your suggestion was that running an EV required you to be a multi-millionaire with the disposable to run a private jet or super-yacht. For the record, is that a position you're holding on to? Or, do you admit that stance was moronic?

*It is of course highly dependent on scenario and timing as to what the real world difference is for making a purchasing decision, as I've argued before.
 
Their tyres are made 'EV' to counter this extra, often huge weight, meaning hard as iron sidewalls, and 'low friction' - meaning less stick, less handling.
The ipace has air suspension but from behind the wheel you wouldn't be able to tell because it rides sporty. I guess firm suspension minimise excessive roll, dive and ungraceful handling.
 
uh oh - Broken, Corrupt? Britain - ringleader of very violent gang, probably numerous earlier crimes from very young age on rap sheet, but out in plenty of them to kill a lovely old man - from Ennistymon in County Clare, Ireland, not far from where my mum came from:

- 2011:


- that's the 'suspected' perp of the crime, now 42/43 yrs old - Lee Byers.

The 'gentleman' was obviously vermin in 2011, when the mug shot was taken - zero remorse, 'how dare you look at me', the eyes, in other words, extremely dangerous.

Enoch Powell warned of, predicted this, with his misquoted 'foaming with blood Tiber' speech.

The clown aka 'Prime Minister' was apparently told by a British person on fatboy's one of many holidays recently to: 'get back to work, you fat ponce'.

This decent person doesn't realise there is no Prime Minister job. Fatboy got thrown out because he made this too obvious - on holiday during those so important COBRA bollox things, the constant parties, No.10 as a giant frat house, etc.

UK is not run by a 60 yr old alcoholic, coke-taking child, or a shrill air-brain harpy as the next puppet.

The reason Mr Byers could do what he did - murder one of the nicest old men on the planet - was because the people who run, own the plantation called UK, wanted it that way - destroy what was left of indigenous, coherent, homogenous England/Britain, turn it into an open air asylum, with no order, no reason, no sanity, just depraved creatures like Byers, and a general hoi polloi who only care about food, entertainment and sex - basically animals.

We're there. Mission Accomplished.
 
is that a position you're holding on to? Or, do you admit that stance was moronic?
yes. What do you think $300k EV Cadillacs, probably $200k+ Jag EVs, Daimler's push for luxury, etc is about? Catering to the 0.1%, or less/fewer.

Daimler is big enough and key enough to know the plan, what's going to happen. They can't just come out and say personal cars, personal mobility, will die from circa 2025 onwards for the mass of people on the planet, can they?

They dress it up. We live under Communism, now. What happened under the last overt communist 'paradise', the Soviet Union? ZiL cars and lanes.

That's us, in a couple/few years. Once they've got the numbers down by up to 80%, by you know what, or 'SADS' as we now must call it, starvation, freezing to death, War maybe, and anything else they have planned.
 
On the unintentionally hilarious Times Radio radio - 2x airhead presenters - this morning - summed up Insane, Bust Britain.

Some couple, I think, the wife mainly, texted in, were wailing their 'pension nestegg' - BTL landlording - was kaputt.

Britain since the Millennium, or the early 1980s - property speculation, greed, get rich quick - on the backs of their children and grandchildren.

The now pauperised clowns were complaining the electricity bill on their holiday let, their 'pension', had gone from £250 to £750 a month.

Ah, poor things. Of course it had a hottub.

UK thought it was living the SoCal or Dubai life these past 10, 20, or 40 years.

Hottub? Do these clowns know how much it takes to heat a feed supply, as low as 5 deg C in winter, in some windswept, damp, cold part of this rock, to what the spoilt brat idiots who rent the place want the tub to be, 40 degrees C or higher, and kept at that temp, outside, in temps as low as freezing, or sub, plus windchill probably on this windy island, for possibly, probably, the whole evening - 8 till the early hours, while Mr and Mrs Think They're Filthy Rich, and their friends, drink to oblivion/stupor, in the tub?

A hot tub typically holds 1,200-1,500 litres, say 10 times a typical domestic hot water cylinder. Even in summer, in UK, the feed temp of water is no more than low double figs. C, say 10 deg. C to be generous as a year-round average. To go to mid 40s deg. C takes a typical domestic gas boiler - still cheaper than using electric, immersion heater etc - rated at around 20 kW power equivalent, about 20 minutes, or about 7 KWh. Electric heating can be easily double that. Let's say it's just double.

So, times that by 2, and then by 10, AND, add the regular refiring, of the boiler/switching on of the immersion, to keep the water at temp, for possibly up to 6 hours.

Depends on the ambient of course, and the hottub's insulation, but I'd say, from bath experience, hot water goes cold, or at least unpleasant, after 30 mins, and that's indoors obviously. So, let's be super generous, and say, the holiday let guests only use it for 2 hours, and it's quite balmy outside, and so the water only needs to be reheated/refilled 2 times.

So, for heating with electricity, 140 x 3, equals 420 kWh - for one day(/night)/session

Commercial electricity is now I believe around 50-60p/kWh, having tripled in price. Let's be generous/best case again, and say 50p.

So, the cost is, for just one day, or one session in the tub, over £200.

I'm amazed the clowns', sorry, 'businesspeople's electricty bill has only gone up to £750/month. I bet they've put a timer on the water heater, or a cut off, only allowing one hottub heating, and max, high 30s deg. C

Even ~£50 to heat a hottub, just once, would put a dent in their 'business plan', or 'pension nestegg/income'.

They either put a lock on the hottub, and see 'posh' guests desert, as this is now a 'necessity of life' in SoCal/Dubai insane Britain, or they cater to on a budget chavs, and drop that rent from probably £1,000-1,500/week now, to £500 or less - which of course torpedos their whole 'let's live like kings in our golden years' plan, OR, they sell it, realising their 'goldmine', their holiday let, is now a huge cash drain, with ongoing maintenance, fixed costs etc, and realise the market has collapsed/gone, as everyone else is trying to do the same - get out.

You have to laugh. Side-splitting funny. Eejits who thought Britain was vastly wealthy(it was printed money) - it is for the 0.01% - and that Climate Change meant outdoor living 24/7/365 - ~9 deg. C last night, in August, blowing a gale today, ~19 deg. C - typical UK conditions.

These airhead clowns have just met reality - UK has no energy. The pits closed, sabotaged deliberately, the oil and gas mostly gone, and we live on a cold island in the north Atlantic, where our weather comes from, 300+ days of the year.

You either live like British peasants lived until very recently in historic terms - minimal energy usage, tallow candles, bit of coal, wood foraged, some peat maybe, hand pumped water or communal taps and privies - khazies - hand wash your clothes, wash yourself down in cold water, live basically on gruel - soups/stews/pottage - or, you become truly rich - at least £10m clear - and live the SoCal/Dubai life.

Hottubs! Ha! Planet of the Apes - Charlton Heston rounds the promontory on the beach, and sees La la-land UK and a washed up hottub. 'The bastards went and did it! The stupid bastards actually went and did it!'.
 
This is death to (all makes) premium car sales in UK:


- small/SME 'businesses' in UK means overwhelmingly property - BTL landlords, property 'developers' - flippers - and all the parasites who fed off of it - estate agents(realtors), solicitors(shyster lawyers), builders(cowboys), insurance(thieves) etc

These were the types who waded in with both feet and gorged on premium SUVs - SVRs, AMGs, etc.

Yeah, there's the small restaurant owners, who everyone is meant to feel sorry for, but then there's the Gordon Ramsays, Jamie Olivers etc, who ran ponzis as good as any Rachman-wannabe landlords, property magnates, with companies and employees left in the lurch, as they rode off with the cash - not their debts.

Ramsay was always pictured zooming around in his Range Rover whatever.

It's all crashing down - planned - all blamed on Putin/Russia - planned - or gaslighting, as even the famously none too bright, middle class callers to BBC Radio 4's Any Answers(Any Questions) have finally cottoned on to - 'everything's being blamed on "external factors" - Putin'.

Check today's, on iPlayer or whatever - Middle England has finally had the penny drop - the Tories/System has shafted them, stolen everything, and basically run off, and said - 'see Putin' - see ya!, or Hasta La Vista, as the fat coked-up Clown said.
 
On the unintentionally hilarious Times Radio radio - 2x airhead presenters - this morning - summed up Insane, Bust Britain.

Some couple, I think, the wife mainly, texted in, were wailing their 'pension nestegg' - BTL landlording - was kaputt.

Britain since the Millennium, or the early 1980s - property speculation, greed, get rich quick - on the backs of their children and grandchildren.

The now pauperised clowns were complaining the electricity bill on their holiday let, their 'pension', had gone from £250 to £750 a month.

Ah, poor things. Of course it had a hottub.

UK thought it was living the SoCal or Dubai life these past 10, 20, or 40 years.

Hottub? Do these clowns know how much it takes to heat a feed supply, as low as 5 deg C in winter, in some windswept, damp, cold part of this rock, to what the spoilt brat idiots who rent the place want the tub to be, 40 degrees C or higher, and kept at that temp, outside, in temps as low as freezing, or sub, plus windchill probably on this windy island, for possibly, probably, the whole evening - 8 till the early hours, while Mr and Mrs Think They're Filthy Rich, and their friends, drink to oblivion/stupor, in the tub?

A hot tub typically holds 1,200-1,500 litres, say 10 times a typical domestic hot water cylinder. Even in summer, in UK, the feed temp of water is no more than low double figs. C, say 10 deg. C to be generous as a year-round average. To go to mid 40s deg. C takes a typical domestic gas boiler - still cheaper than using electric, immersion heater etc - rated at around 20 kW power equivalent, about 20 minutes, or about 7 KWh. Electric heating can be easily double that. Let's say it's just double.

So, times that by 2, and then by 10, AND, add the regular refiring, of the boiler/switching on of the immersion, to keep the water at temp, for possibly up to 6 hours.

Depends on the ambient of course, and the hottub's insulation, but I'd say, from bath experience, hot water goes cold, or at least unpleasant, after 30 mins, and that's indoors obviously. So, let's be super generous, and say, the holiday let guests only use it for 2 hours, and it's quite balmy outside, and so the water only needs to be reheated/refilled 2 times.

So, for heating with electricity, 140 x 3, equals 420 kWh - for one day(/night)/session

Commercial electricity is now I believe around 50-60p/kWh, having tripled in price. Let's be generous/best case again, and say 50p.

So, the cost is, for just one day, or one session in the tub, over £200.

I'm amazed the clowns', sorry, 'businesspeople's electricty bill has only gone up to £750/month. I bet they've put a timer on the water heater, or a cut off, only allowing one hottub heating, and max, high 30s deg. C

Even ~£50 to heat a hottub, just once, would put a dent in their 'business plan', or 'pension nestegg/income'.

They either put a lock on the hottub, and see 'posh' guests desert, as this is now a 'necessity of life' in SoCal/Dubai insane Britain, or they cater to on a budget chavs, and drop that rent from probably £1,000-1,500/week now, to £500 or less - which of course torpedos their whole 'let's live like kings in our golden years' plan, OR, they sell it, realising their 'goldmine', their holiday let, is now a huge cash drain, with ongoing maintenance, fixed costs etc, and realise the market has collapsed/gone, as everyone else is trying to do the same - get out.

You have to laugh. Side-splitting funny. Eejits who thought Britain was vastly wealthy(it was printed money) - it is for the 0.01% - and that Climate Change meant outdoor living 24/7/365 - ~9 deg. C last night, in August, blowing a gale today, ~19 deg. C - typical UK conditions.

These airhead clowns have just met reality - UK has no energy. The pits closed, sabotaged deliberately, the oil and gas mostly gone, and we live on a cold island in the north Atlantic, where our weather comes from, 300+ days of the year.

You either live like British peasants lived until very recently in historic terms - minimal energy usage, tallow candles, bit of coal, wood foraged, some peat maybe, hand pumped water or communal taps and privies - khazies - hand wash your clothes, wash yourself down in cold water, live basically on gruel - soups/stews/pottage - or, you become truly rich - at least £10m clear - and live the SoCal/Dubai life.

Hottubs! Ha! Planet of the Apes - Charlton Heston rounds the promontory on the beach, and sees La la-land UK and a washed up hottub. 'The bastards went and did it! The stupid bastards actually went and did it!'.
The UK is obsessed with property. In some circles especially, there is an obsession with laddering up to a bigger home, adding extensions and building out lofts. Congrats to those who managed to buy a property before the 2006-2018 boom and ease of getting interest only loans for buy-to-let.

Those ambitions with now be marred with high running costs over winter.

Coincidentally I have exclusive had cold showers the past two weeks. It is reflecting handsomely on my energy bill. Just £25 for two weeks. I reckon cold showers and hand washing will make me comfortable with cool temperatures and save me £1,150 between Oct-May.

The new luxury will be to have a small home with low running costs, affording you greater disposible income.

B39292D1-800C-471B-A1D7-01051C79CE54.webp
 

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