I've just got an info on internal BMW Sales dept. initial worldwide sales projections for BMW branded vehicles (in premium automotive brand segment):
indicating a very significant probability of losing #1 spot to MB brand. There's even a
quite significant probability of losing #2 spot to Audi. In US market particularly #1 spot will be lost to either Lexus (greater probability), or MB (slightly lesser probability).
#3 spot for BMW brand is projected in US for 2016.
So, it is (now even internally) expected for BMW to be dethroned in 2016 - on it's 100th anniversary / birthday. It is expected "the defeat" to be officially announced in May @ Annual General Meeting. At that time it will be also better known would it be #2 or #3 spot for BMW in 2016.
Reason: quickly aging mass-volume products i.e. 1er, 3er, 5er & X3. BMW also decided not to boost sales of those models with heavy discounts but rather focus on profit margin instead - especially due to persistently slowing-down Chinese market which usually generated extremely high profit margins.
The end of an era. Sadly.
Mr. Krueger & Co. will now have a task to focus on increasing profit margins (instead on bare sales increase), reinvigorating the "new era" brand image (more focus on IT, less on mechanics), further digitization of the vehicles, and the expansion / upgrade of EVs & PHEV. There will also be much less brand new models launched than in previous years. Coming till 2020: X2, X7, 1er Sedan, i5.
Also: till May a final decision will be made on next gen 1er 3-door, i8 Roadster version, and the brand-new 8er/9er.