I am reading in the Spanish press BMW will start using an EV-only platform from 2026 onwards.
What a mess.
Its called a rudderless ship.
Is this Jeopardy? Is the answer "How might you refer to sea vessel that uses Azipods for maneuvering?"
So BMW has another hurdle to solve. Its main joint-partner in China - Brilliance has solvency problems. Interesting how this will develop.
As you said you don't keep pace. BMW will increase its share to 75% in 2022 for 3,4 bln USD, so this is still pending, which makes them extremely vulnerable in this case.I'm not up to speed on the current rules in China regarding this whole 'foreign companies must partner with state companies to do business here', but I think that might be the biggest problem, rather than the financials of it all. BMW is already increasing it's stake in the operation to 75% and itself, BBA seems to be profitable entity - I'm sure to the point BMW could justify taking its stake to 100% - but if they have to keep a Chinese company involved, that would be irrelevant. If the remaining 25% is bought up aggressively by someone else, BMW get to walk away (not that they'd want to).
As you said you don't keep pace. BMW will increase its share to 75% in 2022 for 3,4 bln USD, so this is still pending, which makes them extremely vulnerable in this case.
The Chinese mother company owes 18 bln USD, and the state has removed its support to the company. In fact it is registered in an off shore region, which makes the things even more insecure. Obviously BMW has chosen quite a suspicious partner. This ownership is very strange for a state company from which a lot of questions arise, especially for the very purpose of its establishment.What I don't keep pace with is the Chinese rules around foreign/domestic partnerships, in as much as what happens if BMW take full control of BBA (IF they had to - which they probably don't). I'm aware of those specifics, they are mentioned in the annual reports, and I read the annual reports, annual reports are love, annual reports are life.
So, what makes them 'extremely vulnerable in this case'?
The Chinese mother company owes 18 bln USD, and the state has removed its support to the company. In fact it is registered in an off shore region, which makes the things even more insecure. Obviously BMW has chosen quite a suspicious partner. This ownership is very strange for a state company from which a lot of questions arise, especially for the very purpose of its establishment.
That's not true. If the parent company files for bancrupcy, than none of its assets can be sold without the approval of the creditors. We do not know who exactly are the biggest creditors, but if it is the Chinese state it could easily block the deal. In addition, this shares, that BMW intents to acquire for those 4 bln USD could be worth 10 times less till 2022.As it says here it does not affect BMW plans
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BMW claims plans to take over Brilliance Auto unfazed by recent trouble
BMW claims that its plance to further invest in its Chinese partner Brilliance Automotive are unfazed by recent trouble.www.bmwblog.com
That's not true. If the parent company files for bancrupcy, than none of its assets can be sold without the approval of the creditors. We do not know who exactly are the biggest creditors, but if it is the Chinese state it could easily block the deal. In addition this shares, that BMW intents to acquire for those 4 bln USD could be worth 10 times less till 2022.
Why do you look for logic in the actions of the Chinese government? Do you play chess? Than you should know what a Queen's gambit means. Quality for position. Whether the deal is lucrative or not is the least important thing for them. The important thing is to keep the Germans obedient.BMW isn't buying Huachen's assets. Even if it were, why would creditors block (even if they could) a lucrative sale, that's been agreed in principle, at what may well end up being at above market price, if that was their best hope of payment - and also risk BMW terminating the entire agreement should any third party try and step in, which it sounds like they're contractually able to do, and all that relies on Huachen going bankrupt anyway - which current;y they are not. I mean, I'm not saying you are wrong Crunch, but I think you're always a little too keen to doom-monger over everything when it comes to internal combustion engine car makers.
If BMW's long game is to have BBA as a wholly owned subsidiary, I'm still not seeing any of this as particularly bad for business.
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