Well, if Porsche will get a third place in the supervisory board (assuming they will raise their stake up to 30% (minus one share) and the VW Law will be terminated by the EU, than we have a new situation. I don't believe that Porsche will aquire stakes above 30%. That would be too much, even for Porsche. But who knows...
If the law is terminated by EU court than anyone will have a chance to acquire VW. And for such situation Porsche should prepared, fully equipped & on stand-by. VW is strategically important to Porsche: PAG using VAGs development / production facilities, common purchasing, etc.
Car industry is in a difficult position right now. Raw material prices are high, energy prices are high, workers want higher salaries, development prices are high etc.
Especially premium brands have to spend A LOT of money on R&D - to come with high-end tech & so add some added value to the product (beside design, image etc).: with using premium materials, methods, solutions & tech. And with the energy crisis we are heading in ... With bloody needed technological brake through (hybrids, hydrogen, etc).
Times of boutique car makers are over. Small fishes will not survive. Only big ones will be able to swim around.
And Porsche is too small to generate enough revenues & profit to follow big premium brands like MB, BMW, Audi & Lexus in their R&D spendings. Some of these brands are already parts of a corporations (DCX, VAG, Toyota), while some are trying eagerly to grow & to become big enough (eg. BMW - therefor all the model expansion lately).
So Porsche need to add more vehicles to model line -> more sales -> more revenue -> more profit. But expansion means building new capacities & facilities, more R&D spendings, more workers ... And here PAG can save some money if they have a strong business partner - like ie. VAG. They cooperate with VAG on Cayenne, upcoming Hybrid solution, and they will do it (have to do it) in the future. So, to assure such strategic cooperation, Porsche should take control over the VAG: one way or another. And the safest way is to acquire a stake big enough to take control. Right now 30% - 1 share is enough, but for a safer future a full control is the only acceptable option.
That will be a major shake-up. The question is who is going to buy new Porsche shares (without voting rights!), without any guarantee of a higher dividend in a short time. I can't see any rational investors who are ready to risk. Except one. Bundesland Lower Saxony.

Will Porsche / Piech family make a deal with Lower Saxony - changing LS's stake in VAG for a smaller yet still more profitable one in PAG? This is the question that bothers me ...
Win - win situation ...
I'm sure Porsche already have some great ideas & very concrete plans what to do with VAG & its brands ...
Toyota watch out!
